SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hearts in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
57.61% ( -0.09) | 22.13% ( 0.03) | 20.26% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( -0.07) | 43.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( -0.07) | 66.01% ( 0.06) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% ( -0.05) | 14.88% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.76% ( -0.09) | 43.24% ( 0.09) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.57% ( 0.01) | 35.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.8% ( 0.01) | 72.19% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 3% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 57.61% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.13% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 20.26% |
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