SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
24.84% ( -0.49) | 24.47% ( -0.05) | 50.7% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 53.34% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( -0.21) | 48.64% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% ( -0.19) | 70.76% ( 0.19) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( -0.53) | 33.99% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( -0.57) | 70.67% ( 0.58) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( 0.13) | 19.2% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.12% ( 0.22) | 50.88% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.69% |
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