SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 0-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Hibernian win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Rangers |
19.08% ( 0.23) | 21.09% ( 0.16) | 59.83% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( -0.41) | 40.63% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( -0.42) | 63.01% ( 0.42) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% | 34.9% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.36% ( 0) | 71.64% ( -0) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.79% ( -0.25) | 13.21% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.04% ( -0.5) | 39.96% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 19.08% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0)0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.71% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.39% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.41% Total : 59.83% |
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