SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
53.66% ( 0.17) | 23.56% ( -0.02) | 22.78% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( -0.08) | 46.8% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.94% ( -0.08) | 69.06% ( 0.07) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% ( 0.03) | 17.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.23% ( 0.05) | 47.77% ( -0.06) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( -0.19) | 34.8% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( -0.2) | 71.54% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.75% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.78% |
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