SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
44.4% ( -0.14) | 24.23% ( 0.05) | 31.37% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.62% ( -0.21) | 43.38% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.22% ( -0.2) | 65.77% ( 0.2) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( -0.14) | 19.71% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.28% ( -0.23) | 51.72% ( 0.23) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( -0.05) | 26.48% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.34% ( -0.06) | 61.66% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.4% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.37% |
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