SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
62.19% ( 0.04) | 22.36% ( -0) | 15.46% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.2% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.01% ( -0.03) | 51.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% ( -0.02) | 73.73% ( 0.03) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( 0) | 16.22% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.27% ( 0.01) | 45.73% ( 0) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.95% ( -0.06) | 46.05% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.24% ( -0.05) | 81.76% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.84% Total : 62.17% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 15.46% |
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