SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
59.25% ( 0.04) | 23.36% ( -0.02) | 17.39% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.18% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% ( 0.04) | 52.8% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( 0.03) | 74.42% ( -0.03) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( 0.03) | 17.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.94% ( 0.05) | 48.05% ( -0.05) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.99% ( 0) | 44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.87% | 80.13% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 59.24% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.61% Total : 17.39% |
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