SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Livingston | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 8 | Hibernian | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Rangers | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Hearts | 6 | 2 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
37.47% ( -1.2) | 28.18% ( 0.44) | 34.35% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 47.18% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.03% ( -1.53) | 58.97% ( 1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.55% ( -1.2) | 79.44% ( 1.2) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -1.46) | 30.31% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( -1.78) | 66.49% ( 1.78) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( -0.28) | 32.29% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( -0.32) | 68.79% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.46% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.35% |
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