SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
40.49% ( -0.13) | 29.37% ( -0.06) | 30.14% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 42.93% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.26% ( 0.24) | 63.74% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17% ( 0.17) | 83% ( -0.17) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( 0.05) | 30.89% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.82% ( 0.05) | 67.18% ( -0.05) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.12% ( 0.28) | 37.88% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.35% ( 0.28) | 74.65% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 40.48% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.36% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.68% Total : 30.14% |
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