SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
49.14% ( 0.22) | 23.62% ( -0.05) | 27.25% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.42% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.02% ( 0.09) | 42.98% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.62% ( 0.09) | 65.38% ( -0.08) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.37% ( 0.12) | 17.63% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.77% ( 0.21) | 48.23% ( -0.21) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( -0.08) | 29.08% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( -0.1) | 65% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 49.14% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 27.25% |
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