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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Motherwell win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
15.18% ( -0.38) | 18.86% ( -0.06) | 65.96% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.65% ( -0.53) | 37.35% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.43% ( -0.57) | 59.57% ( 0.57) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% ( -0.81) | 37.44% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.81) | 74.22% ( 0.81) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.44% ( -0.04) | 10.56% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.71% ( -0.09) | 34.29% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.12% Total : 15.18% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.86% | 0-2 @ 9.99% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 7.49% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.21% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.77% Total : 65.96% |
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