SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
54.53% ( -0) | 22.83% ( -0) | 22.64% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.25% ( 0.01) | 43.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.86% ( 0.01) | 66.13% ( -0.01) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( 0) | 15.96% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.75% ( 0.01) | 45.24% ( -0.01) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% ( 0.01) | 33.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.16% ( 0.01) | 69.84% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.51% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 22.64% |
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