SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.68%) and 1-3 (5.26%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Celtic |
34.65% ( 0.59) | 22.24% ( -0.02) | 43.1% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 67.77% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.51% ( 0.3) | 32.48% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.87% ( 0.34) | 54.13% ( -0.35) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( 0.43) | 19.46% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.67% ( 0.7) | 51.32% ( -0.7) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( -0.09) | 15.85% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.95% ( -0.17) | 45.04% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 43.1% |
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