While the visitors have shown significant improvement since Valakari's arrival, the hosts have had an excellent start to the campaign, and with the added advantage of playing at home, we believe Motherwell will come out on top in this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Motherwell in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Motherwell.