SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
42.95% ( 0.05) | 25.42% | 31.63% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.39% ( -0.02) | 48.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.27% ( -0.01) | 70.73% ( 0.02) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% ( 0.02) | 22.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.85% ( 0.03) | 56.14% ( -0.03) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( -0.04) | 28.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% ( -0.05) | 64.76% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.95% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.63% |
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