Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Motherwell in this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Motherwell
29.33%	26.44%	44.22%

Both teams to score 50.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.26%

53.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.78%

75.22%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.88%

33.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.28%

69.72%

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.83%

24.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.5%

58.49%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 29.33%

Motherwell 44.21%

Draw 26.44%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.82% 3-0 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.33%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.44%	0-1 @ 11.36% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 8.07% 1-3 @ 4.22% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.21%