SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 77.21%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 8.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | St Mirren |
77.21% ( 0.18) | 14.23% ( -0.09) | 8.55% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.51% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.87% ( 0.11) | 33.13% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.13% ( 0.13) | 54.87% ( -0.12) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.01% ( 0.06) | 6.99% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.42% ( 0.16) | 25.58% ( -0.16) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.3% ( -0.12) | 45.7% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.51% ( -0.1) | 81.49% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | St Mirren |
| 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.05% 6-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 77.2% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 14.23% | 1-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 8.55% |
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