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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundee United in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Dundee United |
26.91% ( 0.08) | 24.9% ( 0.04) | 48.2% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.16% ( -0.11) | 48.84% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.06% ( -0.1) | 70.94% ( 0.11) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( 0.01) | 32.41% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% ( 0) | 68.93% ( 0) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -0.09) | 20.3% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.33% ( -0.15) | 52.67% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 26.91% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 48.2% |
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