SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
40.04% ( -0.1) | 25.53% ( 0.04) | 34.43% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.58% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.67% ( -0.16) | 48.33% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% ( -0.15) | 70.47% ( 0.15) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( -0.12) | 23.87% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.93% ( -0.18) | 58.06% ( 0.17) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.04) | 26.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( -0.06) | 62.33% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.43% |
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