SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | Livingston |
42.64% ( 2.68) | 25.47% ( -0.76) | 31.89% ( -1.91) |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( 1.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% ( 2.74) | 48.71% ( -2.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% ( 2.44) | 70.82% ( -2.43) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 2.57) | 22.75% ( -2.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.58% ( 3.66) | 56.43% ( -3.66) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 0.12) | 28.77% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( 0.15) | 64.61% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.49)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.64% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.77)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.93) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.56)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.89% |
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