SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Ross County |
44.29% ( 0.07) | 24.75% ( -0.5) | 30.96% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 57.04% ( 1.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.1% ( 2.38) | 45.9% ( -2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.79% ( 2.21) | 68.21% ( -2.21) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( 1.03) | 20.79% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.55% ( 1.59) | 53.45% ( -1.59) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( 1.48) | 27.98% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.38% ( 1.84) | 63.62% ( -1.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Ross County |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.65)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.61)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.96% |
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