SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Livingston |
45.64% ( 0) | 25.57% ( 0.01) | 28.79% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( -0.05) | 50.49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% ( -0.05) | 72.42% ( 0.05) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( -0.02) | 22.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.53% ( -0.03) | 55.46% ( 0.03) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% ( -0.04) | 31.84% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.72% ( -0.04) | 68.27% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.64% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0)2-3 @ 2% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.79% |
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