Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.