St Mirren
3 - 2
St Johnstone

Erhahon (38'), Erwin (82'), Obika (87')
Shaughnessy (21')

FT(HT: 1-2)

May (22' pen.), Tanser (44')
McCann (90+3'), McCart (90+5')
Kerr (45')

Build‑up

Goodwin: 'We are now getting the best out of McAllister'

Callum Davidson rues red card in St Mirren defeat

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	St Johnstone
32.44%	27.86%	39.7%

Both teams to score 47.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.91%

58.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.24%

78.76%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.85%

33.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.25%

69.75%

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.43%

28.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.64%

64.36%

Score Analysis

St Mirren 32.43%

St Johnstone 39.7%

Draw 27.86%

St Mirren	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.43%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 11.86% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 7.43% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.73% Total : 39.7%