Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
0.35) 
-0.39) 
