Segunda Division | Gameweek 41
May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Toralín
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Albacete.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Albacete |
29% ( 0.04) | 27.66% ( -0.01) | 43.34% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.01% ( 0.05) |
| 41.6% ( 0.05) | 58.4% ( -0.05) |
| 20.99% ( 0.04) | 79% ( -0.03) |
| 64.15% ( 0.06) | 35.85% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.37% ( 0.06) | 72.63% ( -0.05) |
| 73.28% ( 0.01) | 26.72% ( -0.01) |
