Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.56%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.