Levante only lost three of their 21 away league games during the regular season, and they will fancy their chances of picking up a strong first-leg result on Saturday. Albacete's form this term deserves a lot of respect, but we are expecting Levante to win the first leg and ultimately progress to the final of the playoffs.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 35.33%. A win for Albacete had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.16%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Albacete win was 1-0 (12.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Levante would win this match.
0.49) 
-0.77) 
