Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
