Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ponferradina would win this match.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	UD Ibiza
42.56% ( 1.76)	26.24% ( -0.5)	31.2% ( -1.25)

Both teams to score 52.25% (

1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.81% (

1.64)

52.19% (

-1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.1% (

1.4)

73.9% (

-1.39)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69% (

1.65)

24.31% (

-1.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.31% (

2.27)

58.69% (

-2.27)

UD Ibiza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02% (

-0.03)

30.98% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.72% (

-0.03)

67.28% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 42.56%

UD Ibiza 31.2%

Draw 26.24%

Ponferradina	Draw	UD Ibiza
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.56%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.5) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.14) Other @ 3% Total : 31.2%