Segunda Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Toralín
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Sporting Gijon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
39.11% ( 0.84) | 28.34% ( 0.03) | 32.55% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 46.41% ( -0.24) |
| 40.22% ( -0.22) | 59.78% ( 0.22) |
| 19.93% ( -0.17) | 80.07% ( 0.17) |
| 70.27% ( 0.39) | 29.73% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.21% ( 0.47) | 65.79% ( -0.47) |
| 66.05% ( -0.72) | 33.95% ( 0.72) |
