Segunda Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Toralín
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Real Zaragoza.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
39.73% ( 0.23) | 27.12% ( -0.08) | 33.15% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( 0.22) |
| 44.86% ( 0.29) | 55.14% ( -0.3) |
| 23.61% ( 0.24) | 76.39% ( -0.24) |
| 72.85% ( 0.27) | 27.15% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.46% ( 0.34) | 62.54% ( -0.35) |
| 68.85% ( 0.05) | 31.14% ( -0.05) |
