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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 40.4%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (6.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.31%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Burgos |
40.4% ( 0.05) | 32.39% ( -0.66) | 27.22% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 34.94% ( 1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.3% ( 1.64) | 72.7% ( -1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.09% ( 0.98) | 88.91% ( -0.98) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.23% ( 0.99) | 35.77% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.45% ( 1) | 72.55% ( -1) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.4% ( 1.59) | 45.6% ( -1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.59% ( 1.22) | 81.41% ( -1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 16.76% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.39% | 0-0 @ 16.31% ( -1.03) 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.25% Total : 32.38% | 0-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.53% Total : 27.21% |
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