SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Ponferradina |
51.1% ( 0.05) | 27.17% ( -0.05) | 21.73% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 42.44% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.78% ( 0.14) | 61.22% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.84% ( 0.11) | 81.16% ( -0.1) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( 0.08) | 24.21% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( 0.12) | 58.55% ( -0.12) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56% ( 0.08) | 44% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.87% ( 0.06) | 80.13% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 15.11% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 51.09% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.73% |
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