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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 45.2%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.97%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Alaves |
45.2% ( 0.3) | 30.3% ( -0.08) | 24.49% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 37.74% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.46% ( 0.1) | 68.54% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.71% ( 0.07) | 86.29% ( -0.07) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( 0.22) | 30.67% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.08% ( 0.26) | 66.92% ( -0.26) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.43% ( -0.15) | 45.56% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.62% ( -0.12) | 81.38% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 16.51% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 45.2% | 0-0 @ 13.97% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 30.3% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.62% Total : 24.49% |
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