SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 2-1 (7.27%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (12.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
37.7% ( 0.44) | 30.38% ( 0.02) | 31.92% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 40.87% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.53% ( -0.11) | 66.47% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.09% ( -0.07) | 84.91% ( 0.07) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% ( 0.23) | 34.04% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.28% ( 0.24) | 70.72% ( -0.24) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% ( -0.4) | 38.04% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% ( -0.39) | 74.81% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.69% | 1-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.37% | 0-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.66% Total : 31.92% |
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