Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.

Result
Real Zaragoza	Draw	Eibar
31.17% ( 0.13)	28.3% ( 0.11)	40.52% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 46.12% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.04% (

-0.34)

59.96% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.79% (

-0.26)

80.21% (

0.26)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.96% (

-0.09)

35.04% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.21% (

-0.09)

71.78% (

0.09)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71% (

-0.3)

29% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.1% (

-0.37)

64.9% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Real Zaragoza 31.16%

Eibar 40.52%

Draw 28.3%

Real Zaragoza	Draw	Eibar
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 31.16%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.3%	0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.61% Total : 40.52%