SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Eibar |
31.17% ( 0.13) | 28.3% ( 0.11) | 40.52% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.04% ( -0.34) | 59.96% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.79% ( -0.26) | 80.21% ( 0.26) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( -0.09) | 35.04% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.21% ( -0.09) | 71.78% ( 0.09) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71% ( -0.3) | 29% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.1% ( -0.37) | 64.9% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 31.16% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.61% Total : 40.52% |
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