Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 34.67%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 32.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.95%) and 1-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (14.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.