Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.5%) and 1-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (13.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
