Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.1%) and 1-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 1-0 (13.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.