SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.1%) and 1-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 1-0 (13.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sabadell | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 33.25% | 30.96% | 35.79% |
| Both teams to score 39.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.99% | 68.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.06% | 85.94% |
| Sabadell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.08% | 37.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.3% | 74.7% |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.87% | 36.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.08% | 72.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sabadell | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% 2-1 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.69% Total : 33.25% | 0-0 @ 13.7% 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.34% Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.95% | 0-1 @ 13.95% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-3 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.98% Total : 35.79% |
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