Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 39.6%. A draw had a probability of 32.5% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 27.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (6.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.39%), while for an Albacete win it was 0-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.
