Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.51%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.