Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 42.79%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.53%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.