Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 43.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
