Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
