Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 2-1 (6.97%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (13.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.
