Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.