Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.34%) and 1-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Huesca in this match.