Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for UD Logrones had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest UD Logrones win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.