SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Castellon | Draw | Cartagena |
52.37% ( -0.53) | 25.95% ( 0.21) | 21.68% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 45.51% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.83% ( -0.42) | 57.17% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.97% ( -0.34) | 78.03% ( 0.34) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% ( -0.4) | 21.92% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.82% ( -0.61) | 55.18% ( 0.61) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.28% ( 0.09) | 41.72% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.81% ( 0.07) | 78.19% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Castellon | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.94% Total : 52.36% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.68% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
